Trump Warns Europe Faces “Civilizational Erasure” as U.S. Strategy Backs Far-Right Movements

The Trump administration has warned that Europe faces “civilizational erasure” within the next two decades due to migration and deeper EU integration, according to a newly released U.S. policy document. The strategy paper argues that the United States must “cultivate resistance” within Europe to counter what it calls the continent’s current direction.

Framed as “a roadmap to ensure America remains the greatest and most successful nation in human history,” the U.S. National Security Strategy makes explicit Washington’s support for Europe’s far-right nationalist parties.

In a foreword signed by Donald Trump, the document claims Europe is in economic decline but says its “real problems are even deeper.” It cites the EU’s role in “undermining political liberty and sovereignty,” migration policies “transforming the continent,” restrictions on free speech, suppression of political opposition, and the erosion of national identities.

The 33-page articulation of Trump’s “America First” worldview echoes the racist “great replacement” conspiracy theory, asserting that several European countries risk becoming “majority non-European” and that the continent faces “the stark prospect of civilizational erasure.” It warns that Europe may become “unrecognizable” in less than 20 years if current trends continue.

The document argues that U.S. policy should include “cultivating resistance to Europe’s current trajectory” inside European countries, pushing Europe to take responsibility for its own defense, and expanding American access to European markets.

Germany’s foreign minister, Johann Wadephul, responded on Friday by stressing that while the U.S. remains a crucial security partner, “questions of freedom of expression or the organization of our free societies” do not fall within that partnership. Europe, he said, is fully capable of debating those issues without “outside advice.”

The strategy document highlights the Trump administration’s alignment with Europe’s far-right parties, which have built their platforms around opposition to EU authority and immigration. It encourages European allies to embrace “unapologetic celebrations of national character and history” and praises the growing influence of nationalist movements across the continent as “cause for great optimism.”

The administration has repeatedly sought to strengthen ties with these groups, including Germany’s far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD). A senior AfD figure visited the White House in September for meetings with administration officials.

On immigration, the document again invokes themes associated with the “great replacement” theory, asserting that it is “more than plausible” that some European NATO members could become “majority non-European” within a few decades.

It argues that Europe must “remain European,” recover its “civilizational self-confidence,” and abandon what it calls excessive regulation. The document also criticizes Europe’s response to Russia, accusing European governments of projecting weakness despite their economic and military advantages.

The strategy asserts that it is in the U.S. “core interest” to negotiate a rapid end to the war in Ukraine, even as Trump pursues a peace arrangement likely to leave Russia with territorial gains. It claims European officials hold “unrealistic expectations for the war” and accuses several of “suppressing opposition” while leading unstable minority governments.

The document’s release coincided with reports that French President Emmanuel Macron warned Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that the United States might “betray Ukraine on territory” without firm commitments to long-term security.

The policy paper closely mirrors Vice President JD Vance’s hardline remarks at the Munich Security Conference, where he accused EU leaders of censoring speech, failing to curb irregular migration, and ignoring voter sentiment.

Despite its criticism, the document acknowledges that Europe remains “strategically and culturally vital” to the United States. It notes that transatlantic trade underpins global economic stability and asserts that the U.S. “needs a strong Europe” to prevent geopolitical rivals from dominating the region.

It concludes that Washington will “work with aligned countries that want to restore their former greatness.”

Joseph Johnson

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