Trump Turned the Last Assassination Attempt Into Political Fuel – This Time May Be Different

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Another Attempt on Trump’s Life Won’t Save Him Politically Like the Last One Did

WASHINGTON, D.C. – On Saturday night, Donald Trump was expected to be in a rare and potentially awkward setting: attending the White House Correspondents’ Dinner for the first time as president, an event where presidents and journalists traditionally trade jokes, jabs, and sharp remarks.

Instead, the night took a dramatic turn.

After an armed man sparked chaos near the venue, Trump found himself back in a much more familiar position—speaking to reporters at the White House about what appeared to be yet another threat against his life.

Trump said he believes he remains a target because “the people who make the biggest impact are the people they go after.”

That argument may not hold up historically. Former President Gerald Ford, for example, survived two assassination attempts in 1975 but is not widely remembered as one of America’s most consequential presidents. Even Joe Biden faced a serious security threat in 2023, when a man with reported neo-Nazi sympathies crashed a truck into a White House security barrier and later told investigators he wanted to remove the president.

Unlike Trump’s near-fatal rally shooting in Butler, Pennsylvania, in July 2024, Saturday’s suspect never got close to the ballroom where Trump was preparing to address more than 2,000 guests.

There were no dramatic scenes inside the ballroom, no bloodied fist raised in defiance. The Secret Service contained the incident near the Washington Hilton’s ground-floor security area before the gunman could get near the main event.

Still, the political impact could be significant.

The incident comes at a time when Trump is facing growing political pressure and slipping public support. Just days earlier, a new Associated Press/NORC poll showed his approval rating had fallen to 33 percent—the lowest level recorded during his presidency.

The war with Iran, and the economic fallout, has divided his once-united base. Only one voter in three still approves of Trump’s handling of the economy, according to polls, which remains the most important issue on American minds ahead of November’s key midterm elections.

In 2024, the attempted assassination in Butler – which took place on the eve of the Republican Party’s nominating convention in Milwaukee – boosted Trump’s political fortunes and arguably helped him win the keys to the Oval Office 17 weeks later.

Days before the Butler shooting, polls showed 70 per cent of Trump supporters were enthusiastic about his candidacy. Ten days after, that number had leaped to 85 per cent. Across the US, a third of voters, regardless of their political persuasion, told pollsters that Trump’s life was saved by “divine providence”.

Could the latest attack lead to a similar uptick in support, or at least enough to blunt the momentum that some believe will lead to the Democrats retaking the House and potentially the Senate?

Polls showing any change in political support will only be available in the coming weeks, but this time around it is far from evident that Trump will enjoy a bump in support that could help him navigate his way out of the dire political straits he finds himself in.

While Todd Blanche, the acting Attorney General, said that this latest gunman was “likely” targeting the President, he never came close to actually hurting Trump, at least not when compared with the attempt in Pennsylvania.

Watch footage from inside the ballroom – where some guests had the presence of mind to grab champagne and wine bottles from their tables before exiting the building – and it’s clear that the initial moment of panic and emergency dissipated quickly. This time around, there was no iconic photo moment that would be etched into people’s minds.

In fact, in the minds of Maga supporters, the White House correspondents’ dinner is itself heavily linked with the “Washington swamp” that Trump came to power vowing to destroy. Instead, swamp life is thriving, with the dinner putting the cozy relationships between the powerful and those who cover them on display.

Working-class voters, struggling to pay $4 a gallon at the petrol pump, are unlikely to feel too much sympathy for a President who was seemingly never in real danger, was busy tucking into a salad course with people he professes to despise, and continues to wage a war on Iran that is forcing prices higher with no end in sight.

A noticeable Trump bump is therefore unlikely.

There is, though, at least one tangible benefit he is likely to derive from a security operation that appears, on Saturday, to have allowed a gunman to get so close to those who pull the levels of power in the White House. To a person, administration officials are now echoing Trump’s argument that the attack on the Hilton proves the need for his White House ballroom to be completed as soon as possible.

The alleged gunman’s lingering effect on Washington may not be apparent in the ballot box, but they may be seen by future generations on its skyline.


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Joseph Johnson

They say not everyone has the gift of gab to be able to talk about politics in the correct light - but Joseph is the perfect mix between a healthy critic, and a realist cynic. His unique personality works wonders at political discussions which are bound to cause a stir. He is an intellectual with many years of experience in the field, and his work is a reflection of his dedication to making political scenarios common knowledge among the citizens of the nation.

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